Monday, February 9, 2015

Draft analysis, part II - First attempt to adjust for time

So in this analysis, I simply divided the total number of all-star points that a team received by the total number of service days the players had in the majors.

I still need to adjust for the points pitchers receive vs. the points position players receive - pitchers get more, on average, but they can also go negative, which position players can't.

SO without further ado:

1. Atlanta - 1.558318082

2. San Diego - 1.537646788

3. New York Yankees - 1.502774849

4. Texas - 1.489765563

5. Brooklyn - 1.448745015

6. Toronto - 1.42364716

7. Milwaukee - 1.40759943

8. Cleveland - 1.382971339

9. Detroit - 1.355191019

10. Chicago - 1.343842194

11. Pittsburgh - 1.278667761

12. Minnesota - 1.218925925

13. Seattle - 1.204448293

14. Boston - 1.012053947

15. New York Giants - 1.008791453

16. Houston - 0.909155463


One thing to consider as I try to winnow this down better is the later draft picks. Very few fourth or fifth round draft picks amount to anything, but they are often picked up by teams who are running to the bottom. So I'm thinking I should pull out the fourth and fifth round picks so that one team's attempt to finish last doesn't affect another team's score. The problem is, of course, the occasional player who does break out, like Lynn Wilson, who despite being a fourth round pick, compiled 2,383 all-star points.

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